WHAT THE DECEMBER FED MEETING MEANS FOR CRE IN 2023

Federal Funds Rate Hits Highest Level Since 2007 Following The December Fed Meeting

Fed Slows The Pace Of Rate Hikes

  • As expected, the Federal Reserve raised the overnight rate 50 bps to a lower bound of 4.25%, following 4 consecutive 75 bps lifts

  • Chairman Powell suggested that the terminal rate may have risen, but set expectations for a slowing pace of increases over the course of 2023

Why Is The Fed Easing Rate Movement

  • While inflation of 7.1% is well above the 2% target, this figure has fallen 110 bps since September

  • Other key indicators like housing, car prices, and gas prices slipped from recent peaks towards the end of 2022

What This Means For CRE Markets

  • Slower, smaller rate increases will reduce uncertainty and give the market time to recalibrate. That will help narrow the buyer/seller expectation gap.

  • If the Fed continues down the path of smaller hikes in 2023 and inflation manages to ease, we could see buyer competition for assets heat up quickly.