WHAT A HAWKISH FED MEANS FOR CRE INVESTORS 

 Highlights from Fed Meeting and Implications of a Hawkish Fed

  • Minutes from the latest Fed meeting were just released – Sentiment was hawkish

  • Fed reiterating possibility of 50 bps rate hike(s) at future meetings

  • Also began laying the groundwork for Quantitative Tightening (QT)

    • • Timing unclear – “…commencement of balance sheet runoff at a coming meeting…”

    • • Fed will let up to $95B per month expire; Previously was buying $125B per month

  • QT puts upward pressure on long-term rates (10-Year), reducing yield curve inversion risk

  • Overall, the state of the economy remains sound – Job growth, consumption, wage growth all very positive

  • Sustained elevated inflation and rising interest rates are bigger risks for CRE investors

  • Real estate is a great investment vehicle during times of inflation